Welcome to Probability Therory! For course info and policies, please see the syllabus. For grades, log into Moodle. If you need help or have questions, please contact Prof. Wright; office hours are Mon. 1:15–1:45 & 3–3:30, Wed. 9–10, Thurs. 10–11 & 1–2, Fri. 1:15–1:45 & 3–3:30, or by appointment in RMS 409.
Below is a tentative outline of the course. Use the controls at right to make the page easier to view.
Unless otherwise noted, homework listed below is due in the homework mailbox at 5:00pm on the due date.
September 5–9 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Friday Sep. 9  Introduction class notes 
Complete the syllabus quiz by Monday, Sept. 12. Read §1.1, Sample Spaces and Events, in the textbook. Then begin Homework 1 (due Wednesday, Sept. 14). 
September 12–16 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Sep. 12  Axioms of probability class notes  Read §1.2; Finish Homework 1. 
Wednesday Sep. 14  Counting principles class notes  Read §1.3; Begin Homework 2 (due Monday, Sept. 19). 
Friday Sep. 16  Counting principles class notes  Finish Homework 2. 
September 19–23 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Sep. 19  Conditional probability class notes  Read §1.4; Begin Homework 3 (due Friday, Sept. 23). 
Wednesday Sep. 21  Bayes' Theorem and independence class notes  Read §1.5; Finish Homework 3. 
Friday Sep. 23  Simulation of random events class notes  Read §1.6; Begin Homework 4 (due Wednesday, Sept. 28). 
September 26–30 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Sep. 26  Random variables and discrete distributions class notes  Finish Homework 4. 
Wednesday Sep. 28  Expected value and standard deviation class notes  Read §2.1 to §2.3; Begin Homework 5. 
Friday Sep. 30  Probability problems (Prof. Wright at conference, no office hours — sorry!)  Finish Homework 5. 
October 3–7 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Oct. 3  Binomial distribution class notes  Read §2.4; Homework 6 due Wednesday 
Wednesday Oct. 5  Binomial and Poisson distributions class notes  study for the exam 
Friday Oct. 7 
Exam 1:

October 10–14 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Oct. 10  Discrete distributions class notes  Read §2.5; Begin Homework 7. 
Wednesday Oct. 12  Discrete distributions class notes  Read §2.6; Finish Homework 7. 
Friday Oct. 14  Discrete distributions class notes  Read §2.8 
October 17–21 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Oct. 17  Fall Break — no class!  
Wednesday Oct. 19  Simulation of discrete random variables and moment generating functions class notes  Read §2.7; Begin Homework 8. 
Friday Oct. 21  Moment generating functions class notes  Reread §2.7; Finish Homework 8. 
October 24–28 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Oct. 24  Continuous distributions class notes  Read §3.1; Begin Homework 9. 
Wednesday Oct. 26  Expected values and moment generating functions class notes  Read §3.2; Finish Homework 9. 
Friday Oct. 28  Normal distribution class notes  Read §3.3; Begin Homework 10 
October 31 – November 4 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Oct. 31  Normal and exponential distributions class notes  Read §3.4; Finish Homework 10 
Wednesday Nov. 2  Exponential and gamma distributions class notes  Read §3.4; Begin Homework 11 
Friday Nov. 4  Transformations of a random variable class notes  Read §3.7; Finish Homework 11 
November 7–11 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Nov. 7  Transformations and simulation class notes  study for the exam 
Wednesday Nov. 9 
Exam 2:
 
Friday Nov. 11  Joint distributions class notes  Read §4.1; Begin Homework 12 
November 14–18 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Nov. 14  Marginal distributions and expected values class notes  Read §4.2; Finish Homework 12 
Wednesday Nov. 16  Covariance, correlation, and linear combinations class notes  Read §4.3; Begin Homework 13 
Friday Nov. 18  Linear combinations of random variables class notes  Reread §4.3; Finish Homework 13 
November 21–25 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Nov. 21  Linear combinations; conditional distributions class notes  Read §4.4; Begin Homework 14 
Wednesday Nov. 23  Thanksgiving Break — no class!  
Friday Nov. 25  Thanksgiving Break — no class! 
November 28 – December 2 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Nov. 28  Conditional distributions and expectations class notes  Finish Homework 14 
Wednesday Nov. 30  Limit theorems class notes  Read §4.5; Begin Homework 15 (due next Wednesday) 
Friday Dec. 2  Limit Theorems class notes  Reread §4.5; Continue work on Homework 15 
December 5–9 − hide
Day  Topic  Homework Assigned 

Monday Dec. 5  Law of Large Numbers and Distribution Function Method class notes  Read §4.6; Finish Homework 15 
Wednesday Dec. 7  Tramsformations of jointly distributed random variables class notes  Reread §4.6; Begin Homework 16 
Friday Dec. 9  Order statistics class notes  Read §4.9; Finish Homework 16 
December 12–16 − hide
Day  Topic  

Monday Dec. 12  Review class notes—solutions to inclass practice problems  
Thursday Dec. 15 
Final Exam: 2:00 – 4:00pm
